Argument that G4 Route Weakens India's UNSC Case is a Red Herring
by Sanjay Baru
In a world of multiple partnerships, there is always space for a new
club of the willing. Knee-jerk criticism of the Narendra Modi
government's decision to breathe life into the moribund G4 — the
alliance of Brazil, Germany, India and Japan — is misplaced.
The G4 may not yet achieve their immediate objective of securing
permanent membership of the United Nations Security Council (UNSC), but
there is much that they can do to underscore the urgency of reforming an
outdated, antediluvian global governance system.
Each of the four countries has a global profile and are cornerstones of
regional security in their respective regions. They play an important
role in other multilateral forums and organisations, and have
contributed more to global and regional peace, security and development
than some of the existing permanent members, the P5.
Whatever the reasons for the G4 initiative to have lost steam since its
first launch over a decade ago, each of the four countries has new
reasons to come together and assert their global relevance. Germany has
been embattled within Europe since 2009, Japan has been under Chinese
pressure, Brazil's economy has lost momentum just before it hosts the
2016 Olympic Games, and India is seeking to regain momentum both
economically and geopolitically after the wasted second term of the
Manmohan Singh government.
The case for G4 is easily made. There is no reason at all why the
socalled victors of World War 2 — 'socalled' because the contribution of
Gaullist France and Communist China to the defeat of fascism is a bit
overstated — should retain veto powers in the organisation of global
security in a world so changed. That point can be and has been made by
several countries and many of them seek membership of the UNSC with
equal vehemence. If the G4 has chosen to come together and make their
case, how can anyone object?
Will they succeed? No harm trying. Does India weaken its case by
aligning with the G4? Nonsense. China's argument that it would support
India if it were to break ranks with Japan; and the US argument that it
has no problem with India's candidature but remains conflicted on
Germany over Italy and Brazil over Mexico, are all divide-and-rule
tactics and have to be exposed as such. None of the P5 countries has
given cast-iron guarantees to India that it would get India into the
UNSC if it abandons the G4. So, the argument that the G4 route weakens
India's case is a red herring.
The G4 ought to in The G4 ought to include an African nation and also an
Islamic nation. The case for an African nation is easily made and the
African group at the UN has sought time-out till the group comes to a
consensus on which country it wishes to support. South Africa has
weakened its case under its present leadership and both Nigeria and
Egypt have an equally strong case. Egypt is also an Islamic nation and
one of the founder-leaders of the Non-Aligned Movement.
In considering the utility of G4 for India, one must, however, look
beyond the UNSC. The post-Cold War 21st-century world is increasingly
defined by multiple partnerships between major and medium powers.
Moreover, individual major powers have not hesitated to form like-minded
groups and 'coalitions of the willing', primarily in pursuit of their
own interests and, secondarily, the interests of the group. Consider
some examples.
Russia took the initiative to create Bric — Brazil, Russia, India, China
— and China invited South Africa to form Brics. Both Russia and China
have used Brics to leverage their own geopolitical and geo-economic
interests in partnership with emerging economies Brazil, India and South
Africa. One negative consequence of Brics has been that Brazil and
South Africa have not found time for Ibsa (India, Brazil, South Africa) —
the alliance of thirdworld democracies.
On its part, China created the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO)
to pursue its geopolitical and geo-economic interests in Eurasia. The US
has not hesitated to created mega-regional trade groups, the
Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) and the Trans-Atlantic Trade and
Investment Partnership (TTIP), to deal with the Chinese trade threat.
Diplomats and analysts will debate forever on the usefulness of these
and other such associations, groups, alliances and partnerships. Some
succeed in their objectives, many fail. Yet, more are getting created.
The world of many Gs may run the risk of becoming a world of GZero, a
leaderless world, to use a phrase coined by strategic affairs analyst
Ian Bremmer. But why should India, excluded from the board rooms, so to
speak, of so many post-war multilateral institutions worry?
For India, G4 also has another relevance. As a resources-deficient,
capital-deficient and technology-importing economy, India can gain from
closer relations with Japan, Germany and Brazil. It may serve India well
to engage them on a wider set of issues, including trade, climate
change, migration, intellectual property rights and technology transfer,
regional security, terrorism et al, even if to keep the pot boiling.
The writer is director for geo-economics and strategy, International Institute for Strategic Studies
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